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Cicero Policy BrieferIssue 13, June 2007
The misrepresentation of private equity
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| “Most studies have revealed that private equity has a broadly positive impact on employment” |
There can be few things in financial markets that have attracted as
much attention in recent months as the world of private equity. Often
seen to be shady and lacking in transparency the masters of the PE universe
have been hailed as everything from the saviours of Britain’s fallen
corporate angels, whilst at the same time being slated as nothing more
than asset strippers and casino capitalists.
A slew of major deals have attracted growing media interest, not least
with the recent £11bn deal by private equity group KKR to take
Alliance Boots private. This deal marked a significant landmark in the
growing influence of private equity; not only was it by far the largest
deal in the UK to date but it was the first time a private equity firm
has successfully pursued a FTSE 100 company. A psychological barrier
that was always on the cards, maybe, but which finally signals that perhaps
no deal is too big. One of the major reasons for PE’s elevation
has been the increasing trend towards ‘club deals’ which
see consortiums of PE firms literally club together to share the fund
raising, not to mention sharing the investment risk, which is itself
no bad thing. Equally, there has been growing interest in the sector
from a range of institutional investors, particularly the pension funds
looking for bigger returns to close their gaping final salary shortfalls.
The trade unions have been largely unimpressed with this rapid growth,
citing concerns over PE-driven cost-cutting and its negative impact on
job prospects and the loss of staff benefits. Meanwhile, the well of
media debate has become poisoned by a small minority of cases that have
not only enjoyed a very high profile, but have become perceived to be
emblematic of what is going on across the PE sector. In truth, notwithstanding
the media agenda and its focus on bad news (“if it bleeds it leads”),
the concerns of unions and media pundits have proved to be largely unfounded.
Most studies have revealed that private equity has a broadly positive
impact on employment. One study by the University of Nottingham business
school showed that a company’s employment levels are typically
36 per cent higher five years after a leveraged buy-out. Perhaps, PE
cost-cutting—rather than reducing headcount—might actually
materialise in other, more positive ways. For example, have any studies
been undertaken to show the impact of PE investment on a company’s
energy use, or the efficiency of its processes such as procurement, manufacturing
or distribution? I cannot find any studies, though I would wager that
firms under PE ownership could well end up employing more environmentally
sound processes resulting in smaller carbon footprints. Not such a bad
prospect in a world rightly obsessed with global warming and ‘carbon
neutrality’.
Whatever the rights and wrongs of PE activities, regulators will be
increasingly called upon to take action—and to do so through
the prism of a media debate which often distorts the truth for the
sake of a sensationalist headline. The Financial Services Authority
(FSA), which has a statutory duty to deal with matters of potential
investor detriment and wider systemic risks, will no doubt come to
play a more central role in making sense of this debate. What are the
major challenges for regulators? With minimum investment subscriptions
typically in excess of £250,000, investors should be able to
look after themselves. However, while there is no immediate danger
that these investment vehicles will start to percolate into the hands
of retail investors, there is still a danger that small time investors
could end up being exposed indirectly through their pensions and other
investments. Again, this should not be a major problem so long as the
pension funds are being properly advised.
Another important consideration is the degree of leverage usually involved
in backing up these investments. So far, the use of debt has raised
concerns that PE firms are effectively disguising equity to reap the
rewards of generous tax relief on interest repayments. An ongoing Treasury
review will report back in time for the Pre-Budget Report in the autumn
as to whether abuse of the tax system is occurring, and if so, what
to do about it. For the FSA, its interest in gearing has a different
motivation. Its figures show debt to equity ratios of around 6.4:1
are occurring in the largest deals, which presents it with a dilemma.
With inflation now breaching the Bank of England’s target range
as set by the Chancellor, the only policy the Bank can pursue is to
tighten up monetary policy with a series of base rate increases. More
expensive borrowing increases the risk of default; private equity might
not be immune from so-called ‘credit-events’ and at a time
when private market fund raising is outstripping the levels seen on
the public markets. We could have an apparent perfect storm on the
horizon with large capital flows into opaque, highly geared investments
at a time when the cost of borrowing is set to rise.
How likely is it that such a doom-laden scenario will arise? Well,
the FSA seems to think not very likely. Its recent publication in November
2006 cited in total seven risks presented by heightened PE activity.
This includes potential risks to market liquidity as a result of an
over-reliance on debt financing. However, the bigger fear for the regulator
was the issue of potential market abuse and conflicts of interest.
Both issues are already being addressed as part of an industry initiative,
under the able chairmanship of Sir David Walker, formerly of the Securities
and Investment Board (SIB). This review will report its findings sometime
in September across a range of issues, notably examining the current
reporting standards and whether a case can be made for introducing
a new voluntary code for disclosing greater information into the public
domain.
With measures such as these, the PE sector has belatedly demonstrated
that it is up for a meaningful debate with policymakers on how best
to mitigate risks in the sector without resorting to heavy-handed tactics.
More of the same is required in the coming 12 months. Only through
much greater dialogue (supported with more than a little bit of research)
can the industry take the sting out of its critics’ arguments
and reach the sort of ‘evidence-based’ regulatory outcomes
that have made Britain a safe bet for global investment.
Mark Twigg can be contacted on +44 (0)20 7665 9537 or click here to email.
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